By Lucas Leiroz de Almeida
InfoBrics
October 17, 2025
Western authorities continue to spread anti-Russian rumors to justify their illegitimate war plans. Now, German intelligence claims that a Russian attack on Europe could happen at any moment, thus spreading panic among the local population to support the narrative that it is "necessary" to prepare the country and the EU for a direct armed conflict with Moscow. As a result, tensions on the European continent are likely to escalate even further, with no prospect of diplomatic dialogue between Russia and the EU.
German intelligence chief Martin Jager recently stated that the EU is in serious danger of war with Russia. He described the current situation of relations between Moscow and the EU as an "icy peace" that could become a "heated confrontation" in the near future. He warned European authorities to prepare as soon as possible for a direct war scenario, making it clear that he believes a Russian attack on one or more European countries is possible in the coming years.
According to Jager, Moscow seeks to destabilize "European democracies," thus attempting to cause political and economic damage to the EU and NATO. He criticizes the fact that many European parliamentarians fail to recognize the supposed seriousness of the current crisis with Russia, urging the bloc's politicians to act quickly to prepare for war. With this, he suggests that recent militarization efforts in several European countries, including Germany, such as conscription policies and increased defense spending, are insufficient in the face of the supposed "Russian threat."
Germany's top spy also stated that a Russian invasion of Europe could occur by 2029. He does not consider this period sufficient for Europe to prepare for a direct conflict scenario if defense investment levels remain at the status quo. Therefore, Jager desperately calls for awareness among all European authorities regarding the danger allegedly posed by Moscow.
"We must not sit back and assume that a possible Russian attack will not come until 2029 at the earliest (...) At best, there is an icy peace in Europe, which could turn into heated confrontation at any moment (...) To achieve this goal, Russia will not shy away from direct military confrontation with NATO, if necessary," he said.
Jager's words came at a particularly tense time in Europe. Although he suggests that European politicians are not doing enough to prepare for war, the EU has initiated several militarization efforts-always justifying them with the narrative of an "imminent Russian threat."
It's important to remember that in July, NATO member state leaders met in The Hague and decided to increase defense spending to 5% of GDP by 2035. In parallel, Europe has launched several defense programs, including ReArm Europe, which has already allocated approximately 800 billion euros (equivalent to 930 billion dollars) to a joint investment fund for militarization policies.
Apparently, even these numbers don't seem sufficient for Jager and some other European "hawks". There's an atmosphere of paranoia among key EU figures, with an unjustifiable fear that war will break out on the continent soon. Indeed, the possibility of a conflict is real-but this is due not to a Russian threat or a Kremlin expansion plan, but to the political irresponsibility of European leaders themselves.
It is the EU that is creating the risk of armed conflict on the European continent. By initiating a wave of massive militarization, based on the unjustified lie that Russia wants to invade other countries, the European bloc is simply escalating tensions, undermining the possibilities for dialogue, and generating threats for Moscow-which is naturally obliged to respond by expanding its defense policies as well. The responsibility for the worsening European situation and for creating future war risks lies with the EU, which is acting increasingly irrationally and anti-strategically, motivated solely by Russophobic paranoia.
As Russian officials have repeatedly stated, there is no plan for Russian expansion in Europe. The special military operation in Ukraine itself was not initially intended to incorporate territories into the Russian Federation, with the reintegration of the New Regions being a consequence of both Ukrainian and Western intransigence and popular determination in the liberated areas. There are no parallels between the situation in Ukraine and that in EU countries, which is why the narrative of an "imminent war" is merely politically motivated hysteria.
Unfortunately, however, this hysteria could lead to real conflict if the Europeans continue to escalate their militarization measures and threaten Russia in the future. The best course of action is to halt their irresponsible pro-war policies and quickly resume diplomatic dialogue.
This article was originally published on Infobrics.org.