By Saker Staff for the Saker Blog
Let us deal with Snake Island first as the level of noise is unbelievable.
Snake Island in the Black sea will remain under Russian naval and air control. Russian Politician Alexei Chernyak.
End of story
Russia can take that piece of serpentine rock and missile it to non-existence but they've just used a rock to remove the Ukraine's biggest impediment (lie) about the paltry amount of wheat in the ships still unable to make passage. Now the supposed 'international order' have no more excuses and the Ukraine must demine their naval mines. But always remember, we're dealing with the Empire of Lies!
For this one, we will look at the bigger world first, and then we will go on to the ramparts.
A reminder: What is this all about?
A Biden advisor says that US drivers will pay a gas premium for as long as it takes, because:
"This is about the future of the liberal world order and we have to stand firm." t.me
Liberal world order is code for the rules-based international order which is code for a single pole of power in our world. In other words, they understand on some level that they are fighting for their existence as the ultimate ruler.
In sharp contrast, Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov - Minsk, June 30, 2022
The future world order is at stake. We will go back to the origins and observe in practice the UN Charter principles, above all the principle of sovereign equality of states, or else the world will be plunged into chaos for a long time. Our choice is clear: We stand for unconditional respect for international law. We will uphold this position together with our Belarusian allies and our other numerous like-minded partners who share these approaches, which was confirmed during the recent BRICS summit and in the final documents adopted at this summit.
Russia and the multi-polar world is getting stronger day by day. Let's take a look at how the mighty is falling:
We posted a Douglas MacGregor clip recently with the heading: Its collapsed
There is little to be said here and we can only depict this with a cartoon or two. The number of cartoons generated by this circus exceeded all expectations. Everyone was cartooning!
NATO - Crisis of Existence and another announcement of Wunderwaffe
The Chinese friends report on the NATO split:
"On the issue of the Russia-Ukraine conflict alone, there are different demands among Western countries, as Germany, France and Italy want to stop the war as soon as possible, and the US is calling on all NATO countries to make a common cause against Russia. Wang Shuo, a professor at the School of International Relations of Beijing Foreign Studies University, believes that in this situation, many European countries are questioning whether NATO can solve the crisis in Ukraine. If it cannot work, what's the point of NATO's existence? At the moment when Europeans believe that NATO needs to play a role, it proved itself disunited and incompetent, another sign of NATO's existential crisis."
And on the NATO document:
Zhao Lijian: The NATO 2022 Strategic Concept has misrepresented facts and distorted the truth. In this document, NATO once again wrongly defined China as posing "systemic challenges". It smeared China's foreign policy and pointed fingers at China's normal military posture and defense policy. The document seeks to stoke confrontation and antagonism and smacks heavily of Cold War mentality and ideological bias. China is gravely concerned over this and firmly opposes it.
Here is our message for NATO: hyping up the so-called "China threat" will lead nowhere. NATO must immediately stop its groundless accusations and provocative rhetoric against China, abandon the outdated Cold War mentality and zero-sum game mindset, renounce its blind faith in military might and misguided practice of seeking absolute security, halt the dangerous attempt to destabilize Europe and the Asia-Pacific, and act in the interest of security and stability in Europe and beyond.
The Baltic States no longer believe in NATO.
Latvia and Estonia decided to buy air defense systems for joint defense.
"The NATO Summit gave a clear signal that assistance will be provided to those who are ready to defend themselves," Estonian Defense Minister Laanet said. The initiative to develop regional defense was also supported by his Latvian counterpart Pabriks. "We are working on developing our own capabilities," he stressed.
Finland states it will NOT extradite its citizens to OTHER countries UNDER ANY CIRCUMSTANCES - Finnish Foreign Minister Pekka Haavisto.
So, already Turkey's pre-condition to Finland entering the NATO bloc is falling apart. Perhaps The Sultan knows that this may not happen at all. This is what it looks like: Finland and Sweden have not joined NATO yet, and there is a long process ahead, says Erdogan. According to him, the signatures at the Madrid summit do not mean the end of the work to eliminate Ankara's concerns. Turkey wants to see in practice what the decisions reached will mean.
Scholz (for what he is worth) at this very same NATO meet, got scared and quickly urged not to hinder the transit of Russian goods to Kaliningrad. He wants to reduce the tensions in the Baltic region. The most interesting is that Politico reports this. But then, he wants to set the rules according to some rules-based international order concept that he seemingly thinks he is entitled to promulgate on the spot.
"Transit rules should be established taking into account the fact that we are dealing here with traffic between two parts of Russia," he said at the NATO summit in Madrid.
And he also tumbles the sanctions:
"In the case of Kaliningrad, an exception should be made from anti-Russian sanctions", Scholz stressed.
Politician and former energy minister Panagiotis Lafazanis urges ( ria.ru)
Greece to conclude a strategic alliance with Russia and to lift sanctions, because "Europe is hit hard by the sanctions. Europe has shot itself."
And then, Germany Seizes Gazprom LNG Tankers which belonged to the Russian energy giants German subsidiary - Gazprom Germania. And Russia in the form of Gazprom turns up the Pain Dial by turning off the gas faucet to the company, and key gas retailers in Germany and the UK suddenly stare as the bottom of the tank becomes visible.
So, given the extracts from the last few days through the EU Circus and NATO's announcement of Wunderwaffen, can you see clearly that they are telling only big stories. These weapons may not materialize, and most know it. Besides, if Russia does not destroy them, she buys them.
Arms trade on the line of contact and indirect deliveries of military equipment from Europe to Russia by Ukrainians
In the context of the news ( t.me) about the transfer of another six units of CAESAR self-propelled guns by France to Ukraine, we want to talk a little about how things are with the arms trade on the line of contact.
We already wrote that two CAESAR self-propelled guns went to the Russian side for a ridiculous 120 thousand dollars. At the same time, Ukrainian negotiators initially requested $1 million for the launcher.
How it looks technically in practice:
- Negotiations are underway through special forces on the possibility of acquiring one or another model of foreign equipment;
- Since this whole thing is taking place on the line of contact, control over specific types of weapons and military equipment received from the West is rather conditional there: the most you can count on is a relatively timid commander and rather zealous representatives of the SBU, who will not give a damn about reputational losses of Ukraine in case of loss of foreign equipment;
- The Russian side acts as a picky buyer who does not need outdated weapons and military equipment: everything that is needed was obtained by undercover intelligence and so on. Local Ukrainian businessmen are trying to cash in and somehow sell the RF Armed Forces what they have. As a result, the deals go through, but are guided by the Russian side, at the same time, only by the expediency of maintaining contacts with the enemy;
- In the line of special forces, they agree on the organization of a massive artillery raid on a certain already empty square to divert attention while the actual transfer of equipment is carried out;
- The Russian side has already expressed interest in acquiring HIMARS. They asked for more ammo.
- To the Russian side, we repeat, such deals provide an opportunity to maintain working contacts with the Ukrainian side, which in the future will allow solving much more pressing issues. On the Ukrainian side, there is a great desire not to fight and earn money.
So that is one of the deals with the wunderwaffe. Here is another:
Some watcher of Ukrainian channels report that Ukrainian General Staff asked Zelensky in the role of the President to please please stop requesting 777 howitzers and NLAW anti-tank systems, which quickly fail or do not function at all.
(The telegram channel where I found this, notes.. hahahahah fucking Wunderwaffe)
Xi Jinping's current visit to Hong Kong for its 25th anniversary since its handover from the Brits, speaks volumes. As well as Mr. Putin's planned visit to the upcoming G20. The fact that these two leaders are now traveling outside of their countries must show that something has changed. Either the risk of Covid is now such that they can take it, or the security environment has changed so that their security staff considers such visits as an acceptable risk.
Europe is slowly curtailing payments to Ukrainian refugees. Poland no longer pays for food and accommodation for Ukrainian refugees, with exception of pregnant women, disabled people, and families with many children.
These are convincing arguments that the EU is breaking and NATO is cracking.
To the ramparts we go
Russian Defense Ministry announces successful advance into Lisichansk, Lugansk region, with Russian and allied forces taking control of the Lisichansk oil refinery as well as other key districts in the city, as Ukrainian forces said to be in disorganized retreat.
Sergei Kiriyenko visited the Kharkov region. Such a visit is considered a sign that Putin has made a decision that the region, now Kharkiv, and formerly Zaporozhye and Kherson will be annexed to Russia. The issuance of Russian passports has started and the formation of administration is in progress. Russia takes full responsibility for such a region. The Russian flag is forever if Kiriyenko, who is responsible specifically for domestic politics, has been there.
This lovely photo was taken in the Lugansk region.
Once the passports flow, and the banks open, Russia is there: The first branch of Promsvyazbank, one of the largest Russian state banks, has opened in Kherson and already there is a bunch of people in line: t.me
The Kyiv regime is trying to hide the defeat of the Ukrainian troops in Severodonetsk and present the flight of the UAF militants from the Lysychansk direction as a tactical retreat.
Detail as usual comes in many forms and thank you to the commentators who regularly post different takes. Be aware we're coming from the fog of Lisichansk, so, don't believe everything that every Tom, Dick, and Harry pronounces. Always confirm with the Russian MoD report. We still like Military Summary. I would suggest you take in the last report of yesterday before you look at today's first report. The reason for that is that he mentions at the end some of those that he works with.Ukraine. Military Summary And Analysis 30.06.2022 Ukraine. Military Summary And Analysis 01.07.2022
Payback is in progress for the total hack of all Russian sources as the SMO started.
XakNet Team ( t.me) hackers hacked the website of the Ukraine is Our Home TV channel. Now the anthem of Russia is played there.
Earlier ( t.me), they said that they had gained access to the systems of Ukrainian energy companies of the DTEK group.
Enjoy the discussion. This sitrep will stay up until it gets too full of comments and then we will refresh.